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Understanding
Value in a Strategic Transaction
Strategic
value is becoming increasingly important for technology, software and
service companies. Many companies sell early in their life cycles,
before they have had time to translate their technological edge and
market insight into significant profits or a record of earnings. The
sale of a company in the technology and software industries can be
challenging because the company’s value is uncertain.
Reviewing Financial Value
Value is based on financial
performance for most companies. Value is a function of the company’s
profits, rate of growth and the level of risk. Financial value is
determined by comparing the firm to other companies in the industry.
For publicly traded companies, a good measure of value is the
price/earnings ratio (P/E), which is the company’s stock price divided
by the earnings per share for the last 12 months. The current P/E ratio
for the S&P 500 companies is 20.9 times. In other words, the
average company’s market value is 20.9 times the company’s profits.
For private companies, financial value is typically calculated as a
multiple of operating earnings. Operating earnings is defined as
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
(EBITDA). For example, consider a company with revenues of $22 million
that has operating earnings of $2.3 million. Applying a typical
multiple of six times EBITDA calculates a value of $14 million. That is
the company’s financial value.
Large companies command higher multiples than smaller companies,
primarily because small companies have greater risk. The size of the
multiple varies depending on the industry and the company’s size. To
give you a rough idea, companies with:
- Revenues greater than $100 million, the
multiple is about 7 times operating earnings.
- Revenues from $25 million to $100 million, the
multiple is 6.0 to 6.5 times.
- Revenues less than $25 million, the multiple
ranges from 4 to 6 times.
The problem with this rule of
thumb is that it does not ascribe a very high value to a firm that has
strategic value. Strategic value is almost always greater than the
financial value. Most technology companies have strategic value and the
owners would not be happy selling for a price based on a multiple of
operating profits.
Understanding
Strategic Value
Strategic value will vary from
one buyer to another depending on the degree to which a buyer can
capitalize on the technology and other strategic assets of the selling
company. The value of technology depends on how effectively a buyer can
incorporate that technology into its products and services.
Strategic assets include technology, software, patents, intellectual
property, know-how, brand-name, market position, development team,
customer relationships, etc.
Strategic value is subjective. As a result, there is no objective
method to calculate the real market value of a company whose assets are
strategic. Market value is simply how much a buyer is willing to
pay.
Siri, Are You There?
An excellent example of a
strategic transaction is the acquisition of Siri by Apple in 2010. You
know Siri, she is the voice of the iPhone that does what you
command—your virtual personal assistant. Apple acquired Siri for about
$200 million.
Apple employs many talented people—engineers, designers and other
highly skilled people. These smart people certainly could have
developed technology similar to Siri. Why did they acquire Siri rather
than develop their own intelligent agent? The answer is time. Apple
wanted to get to market as soon as possible. If they developed their
own technology, it would have taken a few years—a very long time in the
technology world. Apple may also have wanted to keep Siri out of the
hands of a competitor. Plus, Siri’s engineering team was an important
strategic asset that Apple valued.
Other strategic transactions that
you may have heard of include
Microsoft’s acquisition of GitHub for $7 billion, Google’s acquisition
of YouTube for $1.6 billion and Sun Microsystems’ acquisition of MySQL
for $1 billion.
Negotiating a Strategic
Transaction
A strategic transaction is one in
which technology or other strategic assets are the critical drivers
behind the transaction. Financial performance is certainly good, but it
does not propel the transaction.
The buyer is not just going to pay a price based on some multiple
because it is the “multiple du jour.” The buyer will study the company
in depth. They will examine the company’s technology, market position,
customers, agreements, intellectual property, etc. They will examine
cross-selling opportunities. Price will depend on the degree to which
the buyer can capitalize on the strategic assets of the selling company.
Understanding how a potential buyer views value is important. A buyer
typically weighs the cost of an acquisition versus the cost of
developing the products and technology in-house. Developing in-house
will involve capital, risk and uncertainty.
Time adds an additional component
to value. The buyer wants the technology now, not in two years, so it
is willing to pay a premium to acquire the technology right away. How
much of a premium? This depends on the opportunities and competitive
threats that the buyer faces in the market. Remember our Siri example?
That was all about buying time to market.
How do you negotiate the sale of
a company when the value is strategic? When there are no metrics?
Negotiating a strategic transaction requires understanding the
strategic capabilities of the selling company and the needs of
potential buyers.
A critical aspect of negotiating a strategic transaction is generating
competitive or multiple offers. This is the cornerstone of our
negotiating strategy and it is the best way to ensure that the client
receives the best price.
Successful negotiating requires skillful bargaining and the ability to
read people—much like a poker game. Negotiating is a complex game. It
includes tactics and strategies along with bluffs, feints and nuances.
The most important quality in a negotiator is his or her
experience—because at the end of the day, all prices are negotiated.
Negotiating experience is the key to achieving the best price when
value is strategic.
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